Market Review 8 Jan 2012 - STI, HSI, Singtel

1st Market review for 2012. I will 1st examine the STI and HSI to see its general trading direction.

STI should be trading in a restricted channel between 2740 to 2640 range. A breakout over 2740 may propel higher, however I do not see any good news on the horizon near term. Most indication looks boring, STI currently trading below 100MA line. Recommend trading sell on STI at 2720 - 2740 range with 2750 cut loss.   

HSI looks slightly more interesting as the formation of the flag is nearly formed. Suggestion big movement either up or down can be on the line soon. Judging for the gloomy overall outlook from the europe side, I am more bias to a down side. Recommend small position on trading sell on HSI from 18900 - 18500 range with cut loss at 19100.

Singtel appears to be a good shorting target. Recently technical glitches coupled with nice indicators point to my recommendation to short at $3.15 - $3.18 range. Take profit below $3.06. 

Market Review 27 Nov 2011 - STI, Noble and etc

After quite a break, I'm back to trading. I will be doing a quick analysis on the charting of STI and a few blue chip stocks. Currently my only opening position is Noble at average price of S$1.12.

Seems like STI may be in for a inverse head and shoulder if they are able to hold above 2600. Chances to rebound seems quite possible but may just be short-live. Much depends on the macro level of other market. Risk taker may position in your  trade in phases to catch sudden rebound (May not happen too).

We knew that they suffered  their 1st loss in 14 years and CEO had also quit on the same day of earning report. There were some share-buy back around $1.175-$1.21 range, however it was not able to stop Noble from falling further. From the chart analysis, noble is currently a downtrending stock trading within the given channel. Current price coincide with the lower band of the trading channel. Based on the MACD, before any cross over, is usually the point to start accumulating. MACD turning green with RSI near 30%. I am quite confident that Noble will rebound in 1-2 weeks time. 1st resistance will be $1.20, follow by $1.30. I am not looking for large profit due to the weak economic outlook. Therefore, if there is nice rebound of about 10-20 cents, I am happy to offload it unless more positive news are out. 

Some sign of reverse head and shoulder in sight, however, other indicator does not show strong support yet. Will avoid  trading Genting until stronger indication of rebound in sight.

Actually, I quite like this counter due to the fact that they diversified into non core business (loan). But investors do not seems to like it and their share price was very depressed even they were able to make decent profits. One likely reason was ship builder likely to going into tough situation if Europe continue to give problems. The chart does not look nice at all. Avoid trading YZJ too given marco outlook and chart signal downwards.